The 2011-2016 World Outlook for Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS)

Published : January 2011
No. of Pages : 201

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This econometric study covers the world outlook for intelligent transportation systems (ITS) across more than 200 countries. For each year reported, estimates are given for the latent demand, or potential industry earnings (P.I.E.), for the country in question (in millions of U.S. dollars), the percent share the country is of the region and of the globe. These comparative benchmarks allow the reader to quickly gauge a country vis-à-vis others. Using econometric models which project fundamental economic dynamics within each country and across countries, latent demand estimates are created. This report does not discuss the specific players in the market serving the latent demand, nor specific details at the product level. The study also does not consider short-term cyclicalities that might affect realized sales. The study, therefore, is strategic in nature, taking an aggregate and long-run view, irrespective of the players or products involved. This study does not report actual sales data (which are simply unavailable, in a comparable or consistent manner in virtually all of the 230 countries of the world). This study gives, however, my estimates for the worldwide latent demand, or the P.I.E. for intelligent transportation systems (ITS). It also shows how the P.I.E. is divided across the world’s regional and national markets. For each country, I also show my estimates of how the P.I.E. grows over time (positive or negative growth). In order to make these estimates, a multi-stage methodology was employed that is often taught in courses on international strategic planning at graduate schools of business.

1 INTRODUCTION 11 1.1 Overview 11 1.2 What is Latent Demand and the P.I.E.? 11 1.3 The Methodology 12 1.3.1 Step 1. Product Definition and Data Collection 14 1.3.2 Step 2. Filtering and Smoothing 15 1.3.3 Step 3. Filling in Missing Values 16 1.3.4 Step 4. Varying Parameter, Non-linear Estimation 16 1.3.5 Step 5. Fixed-Parameter Linear Estimation 17 1.3.6 Step 6. Aggregation and Benchmarking 17 1.3.7 Step 7. Latent Demand Density: Allocating Across Cities 17 2 SUMMARY OF FINDINGS 19 2.1 The Worldwide Market Potential 19 3 AFRICA 21 3.1 Executive Summary 21 3.2 Algeria 22 3.3 Angola 23 3.4 Benin 24 3.5 Botswana 24 3.6 Burkina Faso 25 3.7 Burundi 26 3.8 Cameroon 26 3.9 Cape Verde 27 3.10 Central African Republic 28 3.11 Chad 28 3.12 Comoros 29 3.13 Congo (formerly Zaire) 30 3.14 Cote d'Ivoire 31 3.15 Djibouti 31 3.16 Egypt 32 3.17 Equatorial Guinea 33 3.18 Ethiopia 33 3.19 Gabon 34 3.20 Ghana 35 3.21 Guinea 36 3.22 Guinea-Bissau 36 3.23 Kenya 37 3.24 Lesotho 38 3.25 Liberia 38 3.26 Libya 39 3.27 Madagascar 40 3.28 Malawi 40 3.29 Mali 41 3.30 Mauritania 42 3.31 Mauritius 42 3.32 Morocco 43 3.33 Mozambique 44 3.34 Namibia 44 3.35 Niger 45 3.36 Nigeria 46 3.37 Republic of Congo 47 3.38 Reunion 47 3.39 Rwanda 48 3.40 Sao Tome E Principe 49 3.41 Senegal 49 3.42 Sierra Leone 50 3.43 Somalia 51 3.44 South Africa 51 3.45 Sudan 52 3.46 Swaziland 53 3.47 Tanzania 53 3.48 The Gambia 54 3.49 Togo 55 3.50 Tunisia 56 3.51 Uganda 57 3.52 Western Sahara 58 3.53 Zambia 58 3.54 Zimbabwe 59 4 ASIA 61 4.1 Executive Summary 61 4.2 Bangladesh 62 4.3 Bhutan 63 4.4 Brunei 64 4.5 Burma 64 4.6 Cambodia 65 4.7 China 66 4.8 Hong Kong 67 4.9 India 67 4.10 Indonesia 68 4.11 Japan 69 4.12 Laos 70 4.13 Macau 71 4.14 Malaysia 72 4.15 Maldives 73 4.16 Mongolia 73 4.17 Nepal 74 4.18 North Korea 75 4.19 Papua New Guinea 76 4.20 Philippines 76 4.21 Seychelles 77 4.22 Singapore 78 4.23 South Korea 78 4.24 Sri Lanka 79 4.25 Taiwan 80 4.26 Thailand 81 4.27 Vietnam 81 5 EUROPE 83 5.1 Executive Summary 83 5.2 Albania 84 5.3 Andorra 85 5.4 Austria 86 5.5 Belarus 87 5.6 Belgium 88 5.7 Bosnia and Herzegovina 89 5.8 Bulgaria 90 5.9 Croatia 91 5.10 Cyprus 91 5.11 Czech Republic 92 5.12 Denmark 93 5.13 Estonia 94 5.14 Finland 94 5.15 France 95 5.16 Georgia 96 5.17 Germany 97 5.18 Greece 98 5.19 Hungary 99 5.20 Iceland 100 5.21 Ireland 101 5.22 Italy 101 5.23 Kazakhstan 102 5.24 Latvia 103 5.25 Liechtenstein 104 5.26 Lithuania 105 5.27 Luxembourg 105 5.28 Malta 106 5.29 Moldova 107 5.30 Monaco 107 5.31 Norway 108 5.32 Poland 109 5.33 Portugal 110 5.34 Romania 111 5.35 Russia 112 5.36 San Marino 113 5.37 Slovakia 113 5.38 Slovenia 114 5.39 Spain 115 5.40 Sweden 116 5.41 Switzerland 117 5.42 The Netherlands 118 5.43 The United Kingdom 119 5.44 Ukraine 120 6 LATIN AMERICA 121 6.1 Executive Summary 121 6.2 Argentina 122 6.3 Belize 123 6.4 Bolivia 124 6.5 Brazil 125 6.6 Chile 126 6.7 Colombia 127 6.8 Costa Rica 128 6.9 Ecuador 128 6.10 El Salvador 129 6.11 French Guiana 130 6.12 Guatemala 130 6.13 Guyana 131 6.14 Honduras 132 6.15 Mexico 133 6.16 Nicaragua 134 6.17 Panama 134 6.18 Paraguay 135 6.19 Peru 136 6.20 Suriname 137 6.21 The Falkland Islands 137 6.22 Uruguay 138 6.23 Venezuela 139 7 NORTH AMERICA & THE CARIBBEAN 140 7.1 Executive Summary 140 7.2 Antigua and Barbuda 142 7.3 Aruba 142 7.4 Barbados 143 7.5 Bermuda 144 7.6 Canada 144 7.7 Cuba 145 7.8 Dominica 146 7.9 Dominican Republic 147 7.10 Greenland 148 7.11 Grenada 149 7.12 Guadeloupe 149 7.13 Haiti 150 7.14 Jamaica 151 7.15 Martinique 151 7.16 Puerto Rico 152 7.17 St. Kitts and Nevis 153 7.18 St. Lucia 154 7.19 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 154 7.20 The Bahamas 155 7.21 The British Virgin Islands 156 7.22 The Cayman Islands 156 7.23 The Netherlands Antilles 157 7.24 The U.S. Virgin Islands 158 7.25 The United States 159 7.26 Trinidad and Tobago 160 8 OCEANA 161 8.1 Executive Summary 161 8.2 American Samoa 162 8.3 Australia 163 8.4 Christmas Island 164 8.5 Cook Islands 164 8.6 Fiji 165 8.7 French Polynesia 166 8.8 Guam 166 8.9 Kiribati 167 8.10 Marshall Islands 168 8.11 Micronesia Federation 168 8.12 Nauru 169 8.13 New Caledonia 170 8.14 New Zealand 170 8.15 Niue 171 8.16 Norfolk Island 172 8.17 Palau 172 8.18 Solomon Islands 173 8.19 The Northern Mariana Island 174 8.20 Tokelau 174 8.21 Tonga 175 8.22 Tuvalu 176 8.23 Vanuatu 176 8.24 Wallis and Futuna 177 8.25 Western Samoa 178 9 THE MIDDLE EAST 179 9.1 Executive Summary 179 9.2 Afghanistan 180 9.3 Armenia 181 9.4 Azerbaijan 182 9.5 Bahrain 183 9.6 Iran 184 9.7 Iraq 185 9.8 Israel 186 9.9 Jordan 186 9.10 Kuwait 187 9.11 Kyrgyzstan 188 9.12 Lebanon 188 9.13 Oman 189 9.14 Pakistan 190 9.15 Palestine 191 9.16 Qatar 191 9.17 Saudi Arabia 192 9.18 Syrian Arab Republic 193 9.19 Tajikistan 194 9.20 The United Arab Emirates 194 9.21 Turkey 195 9.22 Turkmenistan 196 9.23 Uzbekistan 196 9.24 Yemen 197 10 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 199 10.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 199 10.2 Icon Group International, Inc. User Agreement Provisions 200

The 2011-2016 World Outlook for Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS)

Published By: ICON Group International, Inc.

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