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Australia Oil and Gas Report Q2 2014

BMI View: While Australia is set to become a major player in the global liquefied natural gas (LNG)
market by the end of the decade, the spiralling costs of existing LNG developments will most likely slow
growth momentum, preventing the country from meeting its full gas production and export potential in the
decade to come. Gas production and consumption growth could be further threatened by increasing rules
on the extraction of coal bed methane. The country will also have to contend with a growing reliance on oil
imports as domestic crude oil production experiences weak growth while refining outlook is bleak in face of
regional competition.
The main trends and developments we highlight for Australia's oil and gas sector are:
Our forecast for gas production is 132.8bcm by 2018, up from 48.2bcm in 2012. This growth will be
brought about by the development of gas fields that will come online alongside the completion of LNG
projects. We expect about 75% of this gas to be exported as LNG, largely to Asian customers. By 2023,
gas production is forecast to hit 143.6bcm, with LNG exports surpassing 100bcm.
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Australia Oil and Gas Report Q2 2014
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