Iraq Telecommunications Report Q3 2010

Published : July 2010
No. of Pages : 73

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Report Summary

BMI’s Q310 Iraq Telecommunications Report includes full year figures for 2009, following data published by the country’s two largest operators Zain and Asiacell, together with changes to our forecasts. Furthermore, we have provided latest data for March 2010, after Asiacell published its figures and combined with media reports on figures for Zain and the few other smaller operators that occupy the market.

At the end of 2009, there were 20.312mn mobile subscribers in Iraq, following 61,000 net additions in the final quarter. The market’s Q409 performance was lower than in previous quarters. During Q309, there were 373,000 net additions, in Q209 there were 487,000 net additions and in Q109, there were a impressive 1.078mn net additions added to the market. The lower performance in Q409 is attributed to the government’s prepaid registration scheme. As for the first quarter of 2010, this was not able to match the performance of that in Q109, but the market did see 489,000 net additions to reach a total of 20.801mn subscribers. This lower performance was the result of an estimated decline in Zain’s subscriber base, which reached 10.07mn, as it continued to face competitive pressures from second-ranked Asiacell. Asiacell continues to place pressure on the market leader through price competition as well as its network expansion in order to reach its goal of becoming a national operator. In June 2010, the operator announced that it had expanded its network to the governate of Anbar, including the cities of Rawah, Ubaidi, Karbalah, Husaibah and Haditha, as part of its drive to achieve countrywide coverage in 2010. Asiacell's Chairman Faruk Mustafa Rasool said the operator prides itself on being the first to provide coverage on a national scale.
Since we last reported that the Iraq mobile market was to see the UAE-based operator Etisalat purchase a majority stake in Kurdish operator Korek Telecom, following media reports in February 2010. Etisalat’s CFO announced in April 2010, that it had no interest in the operator and was not nearing any deal with Korek. Furthermore, Etisalat, in June 2010, expressed interest in Iraq's fourth mobile licence. In May 2010, the Baghdad government approved a fourth licence to operate mobile services in the country. The awardee of the licence will hold a 65% stake in the venture, and the rest will be owned by the Iraqi communications ministry.

Iraq rose to ninth place from tenth position in BMI’s most recent set of Business Environment Ratings for the Middle East and North Africa. However, Iraq’s own scores have seen no further changes this quarter.

Table Of contents

Executive Summary 5

SWOT Analysis 6
Iraq Mobile SWOT 6
Iraq Wireline SWOT 7
Iraq Political SWOT 8
Iraq Economic SWOT 9
Iraq Business Environment SWOT 10
Business Environment 11
Middle East And North Africa 11
Iraq 13
Table: Regional Telecoms Business Environment Ratings 15
Industry Forecast Scenario 16
Mobile 16
Table: Telecoms Sector – Mobile – Historical Data & Forecasts 16
Fixed Line 18
Table: Telecoms Sector – Fixed Line – Historical Data & Forecasts 18
Internet 20
Table: Telecoms Sector – Internet – Historical Data & Forecasts 20
Market Data Analysis 22
Mobile 22
Table: Iraq Mobile Market, Q110 23
A Comparative Study of Mobile Operator Market Shares 2005-09 25
Subscriber Mix 26
ARPU 27
Competition 28
3G 28
Mobile Contract Wins 29
Table: Mobile Contract Wins 29
Mobile Content 30
Regional Outlook 30
Mobile Operator Data 31
Table: Total Mobile Market Iraq 31
Table: Zain Iraq (formerly MTC Atheer) 32
Table: Asia Cell 33
Table: Other (Korek, SanaTel and Moutiny) 33
Fixed Line 34
Fixed Wireless Access (FWA) 35
Internet 37
Wireline Contract Wins 40
Table: Wireline Contract Wins 40
Regulatory Environment & Industry Developments 41
Table: Iraq – Regulatory Bodies & Their Responsibilities 41
Legislation & Market Liberalisation 42
Regulation 43
Licensing & Spectrum 43
Industry Developments 44
Competitive Landscape 45
Key Players 45
Table: Key Players – Iraq Telecoms Sector 45
Table: Selected Operators – Financial Indicators 45
Company Monitor 46
Table: Huawei Financial Highlights 47
Table: Huawei - Recent Contract Wins and Other Developments in Sub-Saharan Africa 49
Table: Huawei – Recent Contract Wins And Other Developments In North Africa And The Middle East 51
Company Profiles 54
Iraqi Telecommunication & Post Company (ITPC) 54
Zain Iraq (Formerly MTC Atheer) 56
Asiacell Communications (Asiacell) 59
Regional Telecommunications Penetration Overview 62
Fixed Line 62
Table: Regional Fixed-Line Penetration Overview 63
Broadband 63
Table: Regional Broadband Penetration Overview 64
Mobile 64
Table: Regional Mobile Penetration Overview 65
Country Snapshot: Iraq Demographic Data 66
Section 1: Population 66
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030 66
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030 67
Section 2: Education & Healthcare 67
Table: Education, 2002-2005 67
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030 67
Section 3: Labour Market & Spending Power 68
Table: Employment Indicators, 1999-2004 68
Glossary Of Terms 69
Table: Glossary Of Terms 69
BMI Methodology 70
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 70
Table: Key Indicators For Telecommunications Industry Forecasts 70
Telecoms Business Environment Ratings 71
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 72
Table: Ratings Indicators 73
Sources 73

List of Table

Table: Regional Telecoms Business Environment Ratings . 15
Table: Telecoms Sector – Mobile – Historical Data & Forecasts . 16
Table: Telecoms Sector – Fixed Line – Historical Data & Forecasts . 18
Table: Telecoms Sector – Internet – Historical Data & Forecasts . 20
Table: Iraq Mobile Market, Q110 . 23
Table: Mobile Contract Wins . 29
Table: Total Mobile Market Iraq . 31
Table: Zain Iraq (formerly MTC Atheer) . 32
Table: Asia Cell . 33
Table: Other (Korek, SanaTel and Moutiny) . 33
Table: Wireline Contract Wins . 40
Table: Iraq – Regulatory Bodies & Their Responsibilities . 41
Table: Key Players – Iraq Telecoms Sector . 45
Table: Selected Operators – Financial Indicators . 45
Table: Huawei Financial Highlights . 47
Table: Huawei - Recent Contract Wins and Other Developments in Sub-Saharan Africa . 49
Table: Huawei – Recent Contract Wins And Other Developments In North Africa And The Middle East . 51
Table: Regional Fixed-Line Penetration Overview . 63
Table: Regional Broadband Penetration Overview . 64
Table: Regional Mobile Penetration Overview . 65
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030 . 66
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030 . 67
Table: Education, 2002-2005 . 67
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030 . 67
Table: Employment Indicators, 1999-2004 . 68
Table: Glossary Of Terms . 69
Table: Key Indicators For Telecommunications Industry Forecasts . 70
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 72
Table: Ratings Indicators . 73

Iraq Telecommunications Report Q3 2010

Published By: Business Monitor International

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