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Germany Infrastructure Report Q2 2010

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No. of Pages : 74
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Germany’s construction industry has not seen the best start to 2010 with heavy snowfall delaying much construction. BMI nonetheless forecasts better performance for the sector in the rest of 2010 with year on year (y-o-y) growth of 4.41%. This will take the value of the sector to US$142.4bn for 2010 a figure which is set to grow to US$147.9bn by 2014. Growth is expected to be slow but steady over the period with government capital investment falling slightly to 48.87% by 2014.
Major projects were minimal this quarter as much construction work was delayed in January 2010. Hochtief’s plans to launch an IPO and Vattenfalls divestment schedule were both put on hold with companies citing poor market conditions. Vattenfall has now re-opened bidding for its German highvoltage transmission system, with Belgium's grid operator Elia a front-runner. The company expects to finalise the sale later in 2010.
UK-based construction company Balfour Beatty, along with its subsidiary, Schreck-Mieves, won two multi-disciplinary contracts worth GBP39mn (US$64.96mn) in Germany. The projects require catenary and 50Hz installations for the Coswig-Dresden Neustadt and the Leipzig-Leutzsch-Plagwitz lines. While Germany’s business environment fundamentals remained strong this quarter, external risks and inputs due to the scale of power inputs dragged the score down slightly. Overall Germany scored 71.1 placing it in third place amongst developed states behind Australia and the UK. Its BMI Project Finance rating was on a par with other developed European states; however, was let down by the commission and operating phase giving an overall score of 67.6, putting the country in fourth place in the region. Germany’s macroeconomic outlook is good: it is one of the strongest and most developed infrastructure markets in Europe. The country’s energy sector currently lags somewhat behind transport development and the relatively high euro also offers some downside risk in terms of importing materials. However, overall the state has a highly stable environment and is expected to see steady growth over the forecast period.

Executive Summary

SWOT Analysis

Germany Infrastructure SWOT

Germany Infrastructure Project Finance SWOT

Germany Economic SWOT

Germany Political SWOT

Market Overview

Germany

Industry Forecast Scenario

Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data

Construction and Infrastructure Forecast Scenario

Transport Infrastructure

Table: Transport And Infrastructure Industry Data

Transport Infrastructure Forecast Scenario

Transport Infrastructure Overview

Major Projects - New and Ongoing Projects

Airports

Roads

Railways

Major Projects Table - Transport

Table: Major Infrastructure Projects - Transport

Energy and Utilities Infrastructure

Table: Energy & Utilities And Infrastructure Industry Data

Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Forecast Scenario

Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Overview

Major Projects - New and Ongoing Projects

Power Plants

Pipelines

Major Projects Table - Energy and Utilities

Table: Major Infrastructure Projects - Energy & Utilities

Business Environment

Germany Business Environment

Limits Of Potential Returns

Risk To Realisation Of Potential Returns

Regional Overview

Business Environment Ratings Regional Overview - Developed States

Table: Developed States Infrastructure Business Environment Ratings

Project Finance Ratings

Germany Project Finance Ratings Design and Construction

Commissioning and Operating

Overall Project Finance Rating

Regional Overview

Project Finance Ratings: Outlook For Developed States

Table: Design and Construction Rating

Table: Commissioning and Operating Rating

Table: Overall Project Finance Rating

Macroeconomic Outlook

Table: Germany - Economic Activity

Political Outlook

Domestic Politics

10-Year Political Forecast

Company Monitor

Hochtief

RWE

Bilfinger Berger

Global Overview

Global Infrastructure Forecasts Revisited

Methodology

New Infrastructure Data Sub-sectors: Methodology

Infrastructure Forecasts: Methodology

Sources

Industry Forecasts

Construction Industry

Data Methodology

Construction

Capital Investment

Construction Sector Employment

Infrastructure Business Environment Ratings

Ratings Overview

Table: Infrastructure Business Environment Indicators

Project Finance Ratings

Table: Design And Construction Phase

Table: Commissioning And Operating Phase - Commercial Construction

Table: Commissioning And Operating Phase - Energy And Utilities

Table: Commissioning And Operating Phase - Transport

Sources

Germany Infrastructure Report Q2 2010

Published By: Business Monitor International
 

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