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Philippines Real Estate Report Q2 2010

Published : April 2010
No. of Pages : 68

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The Philippines is emerging from the global financial crisis relatively unscathed, while many of its neighbours have experienced deep recessions. The economy’s relative buoyancy is largely due to structural features, such as the fact that the domestic sector accounts for more than 75% of the country's real GDP. This renders it less vulnerable to the trade problems that have engulfed many of its neighbours. There are still a number of structural weaknesses, especially pervasive corruption, a lack of transparency and regulatory inconsistency; however, the economy’s relative openness to trade and investment serve as a boost to business.
Politically, there is uncertainty over who is likely to win the presidential and congressional elections in May 2010. The gap has narrowed between the two frontrunners, Benigno Aquino III of the Liberal Party and Manuel Villar Jr of the Nacionalista Party.
The Philippines’ property investment market remains relatively stable. With the state of the world economic situation, and the uncertainty of the approaching presidential and congressional elections in May 2010, property decisions and transactions are reported to be very slow. In the residential market, capital values have held up, and activity has been low. In the office market, there is a general oversupply of office space, and a continuing weakness in demand, leading to falling rents and increasing vacancy rates. The outlook for this year is not promising, at least for H110. The industrial property market in Manila remains flat, but there are some signs of improvement. Exports are recovering slightly, leading some companies to consider expansion plans.

Executive Summary

Key Features Of This Report

SWOT Analysis

Philippines Real Estate/ Construction SWOT

Philippines Economic SWOT

Philippines Business Environment SWOT

Real Estate Investment Trusts

Table: REIT Returns - FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Global Real Estate Index And Components, 2007-Q110 (% change)

Real Estate Market Overview

Construction Overview

Table: Philippines’ Major Infrastructure Projects

Industry Forecast Scenario

Asia Pacific Real Estate Forecasts

Table: Asia Pacific Housing Prices At A Glance (% change y-o-y)

Table: Asia Pacific Office Rents, CBRE

Table: Current And Forecast Office Rents, 2008-2014 (US$ per square metre per month)

The Philippines’ Construction Industry Outlook

Table: Industry And Construction Data And Forecasts, 2007-2014

The Philippines’ Fiscal Policy Outlook

Table: Philippines - Fiscal Policy, 2006-2014

The Philippines’ Macroeconomic Outlook

Table: Philippines - Economic Activity, 2007-2014

Business Environment

Real Estate/Construction Business Environment Rating

Table: Asia Real Estate/Construction Business Environment Ratings

The Philippines’ RECBER

Asia Pacific Project Finance Ratings

Table: Design And Construction Rating

Table: Commissioning And Operating Rating

Table: Overall Project Finance Rating

Philippines’ Business Environment

Table: BMI Business and Operational Risk Ratings

Table: BMI Legal Framework Ratings

Table: Labour Force Quality

Table: Annual FDI Inflows Into Asia Pacific, 2006-2008

Table: The Philippines’ Top Export Destinations, 2001-2007 (US$mn)

Table: BMI Trade Ratings

Company Monitor

Ayala Land Incorporation

EEI Corporation

Filinvest Land Incorporated

First Philippine Balfour Beatty

Megaworld Corporation

Robinson's Land Corporation

Vista Land & Lifescapes Incorporation

BMI Methodology

How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts

Construction Industry

Bank Lending

Real Estate/Construction Business Environment Rating

Table: Weighting Of Indicators

Project Finance Ratings Indicators

Table: Design And Construction Phase

Table: Commissioning And Operating Phase - Commercial Construction

Table: Commissioning And Operating Phase - Energy And Utilities

Table: Commissioning And Operating Phase - Transport

Sources

Philippines Real Estate Report Q2 2010

Published By: Business Monitor International

Price:

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