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Saudi Arabia Real Estate Report Q2 2010

Published : March 2010
No. of Pages : 85

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Saudi Arabia continues to outperform regional neighbours, a trend we noted in our last report. The oil price has remained at about US$70 a barrel, meaning the budget should remain in surplus even if the economy contracts in FY09. The International Monetary Fund has forecast GDP to contract by 0.9%. That would be its first fall in 10 years, but is smaller than the expected slowdown in other Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries.
Saudi Arabia’s Tadawul benchmark of stocks has gained some 30% this year. The central bank governor in November 2009 warned against relaxing global stimulus packages immediately, suggesting he still sees difficult conditions for Q309. The bank has cut its reverse repurchase rate three times in 2009. Saudi Arabia itself has a de facto stimulus package in the form of a US$400bn spending programme over five years to boost oil production capacity and complete large development projects. The kingdom has also cut its reverse repurchase rate three times this year, taking it to the lowest level since Bloomberg data began in September 2007.
In contrast to its closest neighbours, Saudi Arabian property markets have been an oasis of stability. While they have been affected by global events to some degree, the damage has been limited and most analysts conclude that the long-term outlook for Saudi real estate remains extremely positive. The key driver remains demographic. With nearly 40% of the population under the age of 14, long-term demand is expected to be strong. The kingdom is expected to build 1.5mn homes by 2015 – about 250,000 a year.
In the commercial and hospitality segments, demand is also running ahead of supply particularly in Jeddah – where earlier supply issues have been overcome – and Riyadh, but also in Mecca and Medina.

Executive Summary

Key Features Of This Report

SWOT Analysis

Saudi Arabia Real Estate/Construction SWOT

Saudi Arabia Economic SWOT

Saudi Arabia Business Environment SWOT

Real Estate Market Overview

Residential

Mortgage legislation

Office

Retail

Regulatory Reforms

Joint Ventures

Key Projects

Construction Overview

New And Ongoing Projects

Residential Construction

Commercial Construction

Industrial Construction

Table: Saudi Arabia’s Major Construction Projects

Real Estate Investment Trusts - End 2009

Table: FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Global Real Estate Indices Total Returns (%, US dollar terms)

North America

Table: US REITs - Total Returns (%, US dollar terms)

Asia Pacific

Europe

Industry Finance Outlook

Global Outlook

Table: Loan Growth, 2006-2013 (% change y-o-y)

Table: Loan-To-Deposit Ratios, 2006-2013

Regional Outlooks

Central And Eastern Europe

Latin America

Emerging Asia

Middle East

Sub-Saharan Africa

Domestic Financing

Industry Forecast Scenario

Middle East and South Africa Real Estate Forecasts

Table: Middle East And South Africa - Housing Prices At A Glance (% change y-o-y in local currency)

Table: Office Rents In The Middle East And South Africa, CBRE

Table: Office Rents In The Middle East And South Africa, Other Research

Table: Current And Forecast Office Rents, 2008-2014 (US$ per square metre per month)

Saudi Arabia Real Estate Forecasts

Saudi Arabian Construction Forecasts

Table: Saudi Arabia - Construction Industry, 2007-2014

Macroeconomic Outlook

Saudi Arabia - Economic Activity 2007-2014

Business Environment

Real Estate/Construction Business Environment Ratings

Table: Middle East And Africa Real Estate/Construction Business Environment Ratings

Saudi Arabia’s RECBER

Middle East Project Finance Ratings

Table: Design And Construction Rating

Table: Commissioning And Operating Rating

Table: Overall Project Finance Rating

Overview Of The Middle East And Africa’s Business Environment

Saudi Arabia’s Business Environment

Table: BMI’s Business And Operational Risk Ratings

Table: BMI’s Legal Framework Ratings

Table: Labour Force Quality

Table: FDI Inflows Into The Middle East And Africa, 2007 And 2008

Table: BMI Trade Ratings

Table: Saudi Arabia’s Top Export Destinations, 2000-2007 (US$mn)

Company Monitor

Almabani General Contractors

Al Khodari Group

Arriyadh Development Company

Damac

Dar Al Arkan Real Estate Development Company

Jabal Omar Development Company

King Abdullah Economic City

Makkah Construction And Development Company

Saudi Oger

BMI Methodology

How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts

Construction Industry

Bank Lending

Real Estate/Construction Business Environment Rating

Table: Weighting Of Indicators

Project Finance Ratings Indicators

Table: Design And Construction Phase

Table: Commissioning And Operating Phase - Commercial Construction

Table: Commissioning And Operating Phase - Energy And Utilities

Table: Commissioning And Operating Phase - Transport

Sources

Saudi Arabia Real Estate Report Q2 2010

Published By: Business Monitor International

Price:

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