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Qatar Power Report Q3 2012

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No. of Pages : 50
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BMI View: The state-controlled power industry remains committed to the use of gas as its primary
energy source, in spite of the growing demands from the country’s many export projects. Over the longer
term there is renewables potential – particularly in solar energy – and Qatar may flirt with the possibility
of nuclear power. In the meantime, Qatar is in a race to build gas-fired generation in time to meet the
growing demands of an expanding population and a rapidly growing economy.
Key trends and recent developments in the Qatari electricity market include:
􀂃 The Qatari government is planning to spend more than US$5bn by end-2013 to increase its
electricity and potable water generation capacity, reports Reuters, citing Qatar Electricity &
Water Company (QEWC) CEO Abdulsattar al-Rasheed. US$2.4bn will be invested in 2012,
while US$2.8bn will be spent in 2013. New projects include a 2,250 megawatt (MW) power
plant. The government invested US$2.2bn in 2010 and US$1.7bn in 2011 in the power and water
sector, al-Rasheed revealed. According to Commercialbank Capital, the government will
invest US$9bn and US$6.9bn in the power and water sectors respectively over the coming years.
􀂃 On May 29 2012, Qatar Solar Technologies – a joint venture (JV) between German-based
Solarworld and several Qatari entities – announced that it had secured US$1bn worth of
financing for the construction of a flagship polysilicon plant in Ras Laffan Industrial City. The
government is aiming for solar power to account for 10% of total energy consumption by 2018.
However, our forecasts are more pessimistic, and we do not expect renewables to feature
prominently in the country’s energy mix for the foreseeable future. During the period 2012-
2021, Qatar’s overall power generation is expected to increase by an annual average of more
than 7.11%, reaching 48.8TWh. Driving this growth is an annual 7.11% gain in gas-fired
generation, which remains the key form of power supply in the country. Conventional thermal
sources are expected to remain the dominant fuel for electricity generation in the coming years,
with all power projects currently planned or under construction using gas.
􀂃 Following an increase in 2011 real GDP of an estimated 17.2%, BMI forecasts average annual
growth of 7.1% between 2012 and 2021. The population is expected to rise from the current
level of 1.53mn to 1.74mn during the period to 2021, and net power consumption looks set to
increase from an estimated 22.3TWh in 2011 to 42.7TWh by 2021. During the period 2012-
2021, the average annual growth rate for electricity demand is forecast at 6.7%.
􀂃 Thanks partly to the forecast rise in net generation, the growth of which exceeds the underlying
demand trend, Qatar has the potential to develop a modest supply surplus for export to
neighbouring countries. An unchanged percentage of transmission and distribution losses,
Qatar Power Report Q3 2012
© Business Monitor International Ltd Page 6
hovering at around 9.0% over the forecast period, will do little to strengthen the market. Any
near-term supply shortfall should have been eradicated by the end of the forecast period.

Executive Summary . 5
SWOT Analysis . 7
Qatar Power SWOT 7
Global Industry Overview 8
Regional Industry Overview 15
Industry Forecast Scenario 20
Qatar Snapshot 20
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data 20
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 20
Qatar Forecast Scenario . 21
Electricity Generation and Power Generating Capacity . 21
Table: Qatar Total Electricity Generation – Historical Data And Forecasts, 2008 - 2016 . 21
Table: Qatar Total Electricity Generation Long-Term Forecasts, 2013 - 2021 . 22
Table: Qatar Electricity Generating Capacity – Historical Data And Forecasts, 2008 - 2016 . 23
Table: Qatar Electricity Generating Capacity – Long-Term Forecasts, 2013 - 2021 23
Electricity Consumption 26
Table: Qatar Total Electricity Consumption – Historical Data And Forecasts, 2008 - 2016 . 26
Table: Qatar Total Electricity Consumption Long-Term Forecasts, 2013 - 2021 . 26
Transmission & Distribution, Imports & Exports 28
Table: Qatar Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses – Historical Data And Forecasts, 2008 - 2016 . 28
Table: Qatar Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses – Long -Term Forecasts, 2013 - 2021 28
Table: Qatar – Historical Trade Data And Forecasts, 2008-2016 28
Table: Qatar – Long-Term Trade Forecasts, 2013-2021 28
Key Policies/Market Structure 31
Regulation and Competition 31
Key Projects Database . 32
Table: Key Projects – Power Plants & Transmission Grids 32
Risk/Reward Ratings 34
MEA Regional Power Risk/Reward Ratings . 34
Table: MEA Power Risk/Reward Ratings (Scores Out Of 100) . 34
Qatar Power Risk/Reward Ratings 39
Rewards . 39
Risks . 39
Competitive Landscape 40
Kahramaa 40
Qatar Electricity & Water Company (QEWC) 40
Company Profiles . 41
Qatar Electricity & Water Company (QEWC) 41
Glossary of Terms 43
Table: Glossary of Terms 43
Methodology And Sources . 44
Industry Forecasts 44
Power Industry – Data Methodology 45
Qatar Power Report Q3 2012
© Business Monitor International Ltd Page 4
Generation and Consumption Data 45
Electricity Generation Capacity Data . 46
Power Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology . 46
Table: Power Risk/Reward Indicators 48
Sources 49Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
Table: Qatar Total Electricity Generation – Historical Data And Forecasts
Table: Qatar Total Electricity Generation LongTerm Forecasts
Table: Qatar Electricity Generating Capacity – Historical Data And Forecasts
Table: Qatar Electricity Generating Capacity – LongTerm Forecasts
Table: Qatar Total Electricity Consumption – Historical Data And Forecasts
Table: Qatar Total Electricity Consumption LongTerm Forecasts
Table: Qatar Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses – Historical Data And Forecasts
Table: Qatar Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses – Long Term Forecasts
Table: Qatar – Historical Trade Data And Forecasts
Table: Qatar – LongTerm Trade Forecasts
Table: Key Projects – Power Plants & Transmission Grids
Table: MEA Power Risk/Reward Ratings (Scores Out Of )
Table: Glossary of Terms
Table: Power Risk/Reward Indicators

Qatar Power Report Q3 2012

Published By: Business Monitor International
 

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