Japan Commercial Banking Report Q3 2012

Published : August 2012
No. of Pages : 65

Price:

Since Q108, we have described numerically the banking business environment for each of the countries
surveyed by BMI. We do this through our Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating (CBBER),
a measure that ensures we capture the latest quantitative information available. It also ensures consistency
across all countries and between the inputs to the CBBER and the Insurance Business Environment
Rating, which is likewise now a feature of our insurance reports. Like the Business Environment Ratings
calculated by BMI for all the other industries on which it reports, the CBBER takes into account the
limits of potential returns and the risks to the realisation of those returns. It is weighted 70% to the former
and 30% to the latter.
The evaluation of the limits of potential returns includes market elements that are specific to the banking
industry of the country in question and elements that relate to that country in general. Within the 70% of
the CBBER that takes into account the limits of potential returns, the market elements have a 60%
weighting and the country elements have a 40% weighting. The evaluation of the risks to realisation of
returns also includes banking elements and country elements (specifically, BMI''s assessment of longterm
country risk). However, within the 30% of the CBBER that take into account the risks, these
elements are weighted 40% and 60%, respectively.
Further details on how we calculate the CBBER are provided at the end of this report. In general, though,
three aspects need to be borne in mind in interpreting the CBBERs. The first is that the market elements
of the limits of potential returns are by far the most heavily weighted of the four elements. They account
for 60% of 70% (or 42%) of the overall CBBER. Second, if the market elements are significantly higher
than the country elements of the limits of potential returns'', it usually implies that the banking sector is
(very) large and/or developed relative to the general wealth, stability and financial infrastructure in the
country. Conversely, if the market elements are significantly lower than the country elements, it usually
means that the banking sector is small and/or underdeveloped relative to the general wealth, stability and
financial infrastructure in the country. Third, within the risks to the realisation of returns category, the
market elements (ie: how regulations affect the development of the sector, how regulations affect
competition within it and the Moody''s ratings for local currency deposits) can be markedly different from
BMI''s long-term risk rating.

Executive Summary . 5
Table: Levels (JPYbn) 5
Table: Levels (US$bn) . 5
Table: Levels At April 2012 5
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections, 2012-2016 (%) 5
Table: Ranking Out Of 59 Countries Reviewed In 2011 6
Table: Projected Levels (JPYbn), 2008-2016 6
Table: Projected Levels (US$bn), 2008-2016 . 6
SWOT Analysis 7
Japan Commercial Banking SWOT 7
Japan Political SWOT 8
Japan Economic SWOT . 9
Japan Business Environment SWOT . 10
Japan Business Environment Outlook 11
Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating . 11
Table: Japan''s Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating . 11
Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating Methodology 12
Table: Asia Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings . 13
Global Commercial Banking Outlook . 14
Asia Banking Regional Outlooks Overview . 22
Asia Banking Sector Outlook . 25
Table: Banks'' Bond Portfolios 2011 . 25
Table: Asia Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings . 26
Table: Comparison of Loan/Deposit & Loan/Asset & Loan/GDP ratios . 27
Table: Anticipated Developments in 2012 28
Table: Comparison of Total Assets & Client Loans & Client Deposits (US$bn) 29
Table: Comparison of US$ Per Capita Deposits (2011) 30
Table: Interbank Rates and Bond Yields 31
Japan Banking Sector Outlook . 32
Economic Outlook . 35
Table: Japan – Economic Activity, 2011-2016 37
Competitive Landscape 38
Market Structure . 38
Protagonists 38
Table: Protagonists In Japan''s Commercial Banking Sector 38
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe 38
List Of Banks 39
Table: Full Japanese Bankers'' Association Members 39
Table: Associate Japanese Bankers'' Association Members. 43
Japan Commercial Banking Report Q3 2012
© Business Monitor International Ltd Page 4
Company Profiles 45
Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ . 45
Table: Balance Sheet (JPYmn, unless stated), 2006-2010. 47
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated), 2006-2010 47
Table: Key Ratios (%), 2006-2010 . 47
Mizuho Bank 48
Table: Balance Sheet (JPYmn, unless stated), 2007-2010. 49
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated), 2007-2010 49
Table: Key Ratios (%), 2007-2010 . 49
Mizuho Corporate Bank 50
Table: Balance Sheet (JPYmn, unless stated), 2006-2010. 51
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated), 2006-2010 51
Table: Key Ratios (%), 2006-2010 . 52
Resona 53
Table: Balance Sheet (JPYmn, unless stated), 2006-2010. 54
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated), 2006-2010 54
Table: Key Ratios (%), 2006-2010 . 55
Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation . 56
Aozora Bank 58
Table: Balance Sheet (JPYmn, unless stated), 2006-2010. 59
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated), 2006-2010 59
Table: Key Ratios (%), 2006-2010 . 59
BMI Banking Sector Methodology . 60
Commercial Bank Business Environment Rating . 62
Table: Commercial Banking Business Environment Indicators And Rationale 63
Table: Weighting Of Indicators. 64Table: Levels (JPYbn)
Table: Levels (US$bn)
Table: Levels At April
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections (%)
Table: Ranking Out Of Countries Reviewed In
Table: Projected Levels (JPYbn)
Table: Projected Levels (US$bn)
Table: Japan''s Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating
Table: Asia Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings
Table: Banks'' Bond Portfolios
Table: Asia Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings
Table: Comparison of Loan/Deposit & Loan/Asset & Loan/GDP ratios
Table: Anticipated Developments in
Table: Comparison of Total Assets & Client Loans & Client Deposits (US$bn)
Table: Comparison of US$ Per Capita Deposits ()
Table: Interbank Rates and Bond Yields
Table: Japan – Economic Activity
Table: Full Japanese Bankers'' Association Members
Table: Associate Japanese Bankers'' Association Members
Table: Balance Sheet (JPYmn unless stated)
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn unless stated)
Table: Key Ratios (%)
Table: Balance Sheet (JPYmn unless stated)
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn unless stated)
Table: Key Ratios (%)
Table: Balance Sheet (JPYmn unless stated)
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn unless stated)
Table: Key Ratios (%)
Table: Balance Sheet (JPYmn unless stated)
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn unless stated)
Table: Key Ratios (%)
Table: Balance Sheet (JPYmn unless stated)
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn unless stated)
Table: Key Ratios (%)
Table: Commercial Banking Business Environment Indicators And Rationale
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

Japan Commercial Banking Report Q3 2012

Published By: Business Monitor International

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