Slovakia Food and Drink Report Q3 2012

Published : July 2012
No. of Pages : 104

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Factors such as elevated unemployment – which is expected to hit 14% by the end of the year – and slowing average wage growth will continue to diminish opportunities for discretionary spending. In the meantime, food and non-alcoholic beverages inflation continues to climb, making for a challenging consumer spending environment. We thus continue to expect little improvement in this regard, especially given the need for fiscal prudency. Headline Industry Data (local currency) 􀂃 2012 per capita food consumption = +1.89%; forecast compound annual growth rate (CAGR) to 2016 = +3.47% 􀂃 2012 alcoholic drinks sales = +3.38%; forecast CAGR to 2016 = +3.65% 􀂃 2012 soft drinks sales = +3.71%; forecast CAGR to 2016 = +3.25% 􀂃 2012 mass grocery retail = +4.17%; forecast CAGR to 2016 = +5.42% Key Company Trends European Majors Target Slovakian Companies: In February 2012, Orkla Food Ingredients (OFI), part of the Norwegian Orkla conglomerate and the leading Scandinavian supplier of bakery ingredients, purchased a 66% stake in Slovakian Ekvia. The Slovakian company is the domestic leader in the sales and distribution of bakery ingredients, supplying business from one of its five warehouses across Slovakia. OFI’s unit KåKå Group will assimilate Ekvia. Fast-Food Chains Expand In Slovakia: McDonald’s Slovakia, which posted EUR53.2mn in 2011 revenues, is planning on opening two new restaurants during 2012, while also redesigning its existing outlets. US chain Subway is also to open a total of four new outlets in the course of 2012. Subway will primarily target the capital, which is to witness two more outlet openings during the year. Similarly, in April 2012, Slovak fast-food chain Pizza Mizza was reported to be planning to sell its products in retail chains across Slovakia, starting a pilot project with supermarket operator Billa. Risks To Outlook Risk Both To Upside And Downside: We see risks as fairly weighted to both the upside and downside: stronger than expected exports will continue to pose the greatest upside risk to our real GDP forecast, and we highlight that an end-2012 headline figure in the range of 1.5-2.0% would not be improbable. However, with Greece''s recent elections providing fresh cause for a bout of volatility in the eurozone as break-up concerns rise to the fore again, there remains a host of considerable downside risks to both investment in Slovakia and export growth.

BMI Industry View 7
SWOT Analysis 8
Slovakia Food Industry SWOT 8
Slovakia Drink Industry SWOT . 9
Slovakia Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT 10
Business Environment 11
BMI’s Core Global Industry Views 11
Table: Core Views 19
CEE Food & Drink Risk/Reward Ratings 20
Table: Food & Drink Risk/Reward Sub-Factor Ratings, Q312 (scores out of 10) . 21
Table: CEE Food & Drink Risk/Reward Ratings, Q312 . 24
Slovakia’s Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings 25
Macroeconomic Outlook 26
Table: Economic Activity 28
Industry Forecast Scenario . 29
Consumer Outlook 29
Food . 32
Table: Food Consumption Indicators – Historical Data & Forecasts 33
Confectionery 33
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts 34
Canned And Processed Food 35
Table: Canned Food Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts . 36
Table: Meat 36
Table: Jams & Jellies 37
Table: Pasta 38
Table: Baked Products . 39
Dairy 41
Table: Dairy . 42
Drink 47
Alcoholic Drinks 47
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts 48
Soft Drinks 49
Table: Soft Drinks Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts 50
Hot Drinks 51
Table: Hot Drinks Value Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts . 52
Trade 53
Table: Trade Indicators – Historical Data and Forecasts 53
Mass Grocery Retail 54
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format – Historical Data & Forecasts 55
Food 56
Key Industry Trends And Developments 56
Expansion of Fast-Food Chains Continues 56
Consolidation In The Food Production Industry 56
Companies Looking To Lower Production Costs 57
Companies Targeting Niche Segments 57
Market Overview 58
Slovakia Food & Drink Report Q3 2012
© Business Monitor International Ltd Page 4
Food Consumption 58
Food Production 58
Main Players . 59
Confectionery 60
Canned Food 61
Trade 61
Agriculture 61
Drink 62
Key Industry Trends And Developments 62
Wine Industry Targets Expansion 62
Consolidation in Bottled Water Industry 62
Foreign Players Remain Interested In Slovakia’s Soft Drinks Market 62
Slowing Sales Lead To Brewery Closures 63
Market Overview 64
Beer . 64
Hot Drinks 67
Mass Grocery Retail 69
Key Industry Trends And Developments 69
Legislation Reversal To Potentially Attract More Foreign Players . 69
Expansion Of Convenience-Type Stores As Diversification Strategy 69
Expansion Continues Despite Challenging Operating Conditions 70
Slovakian Retailers Looking to Expand in the Czech Republic 71
Market Overview 71
Leading Retailers 72
Table: Structure Of Slovakia’s Mass Grocery Retail Market By Number Of Outlets 74
Table: Structure Of Slovakia''s Mass Grocery Retail Market – Sales Value By Format 74
Table: Average Value Per Outlet, 2011 . 75
Competitive Landscape . 76
Table: Key Players In Slovakia’s Food Sector 76
Table: Key Players In Slovakia’s Drink Sector 77
Table: Key Players In Slovakia’s Mass Grocery Retail Sector* 78
Company Monitor . 79
Food . 79
Drink 82
Mass Grocery Retail 86
Demographic Outlook 94
Table: Slovakia''s Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (''000) . 95
Table: Slovakia''s Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 95
Table: Slovakia''s Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 96
Table: Slovakia''s Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 97
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 98
Table: Rewards 98
Table: Risks 99
Weighting 99
Table: Weighting 99
BMI Food & Drink Industry Glossary 100
Food & Drink 100
Slovakia Food & Drink Report Q3 2012
© Business Monitor International Ltd Page 5
Mass Grocery Retail 100
BMI Food & Drink Forecasting & Sourcing . 102
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 102
Sourcing 103Table: Core Views
Table: Food & Drink Risk/Reward SubFactor Ratings Q (scores out of )
Table: CEE Food & Drink Risk/Reward Ratings Q
Table: Economic Activity
Table: Food Consumption Indicators – Historical Data & Forecasts
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts
Table: Canned Food Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts
Table: Meat
Table: Jams & Jellies
Table: Pasta
Table: Baked Products
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts
Table: Soft Drinks Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts
Table: Hot Drinks Value Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts
Table: Trade Indicators – Historical Data and Forecasts
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format – Historical Data & Forecasts
Table: Structure Of Slovakia’s Mass Grocery Retail Market By Number Of Outlets
Table: Structure Of Slovakia''s Mass Grocery Retail Market – Sales Value By Format
Table: Average Value Per Outlet
Table: Key Players In Slovakia’s Food Sector
Table: Key Players In Slovakia’s Drink Sector
Table: Key Players In Slovakia’s Mass Grocery Retail Sector*
Table: Slovakia''s Population By Age Group ('')
Table: Slovakia''s Population By Age Group (% of total)
Table: Slovakia''s Key Population Ratios
Table: Slovakia''s Rural And Urban Population
Table: Rewards
Table: Risks

Slovakia Food and Drink Report Q3 2012

Published By: Business Monitor International

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