BMI Industry View . 7
SWOT Analysis 9
Ukraine Food Industry SWOT 9
Ukraine Drink Industry SWOT . 10
Ukraine Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT 11
Business Environment 12
BMI’s Core Global Industry Views 12
Table: Core Views 20
CEE Food & Drink Risk/Reward Ratings . 21
Table: Food & Drink Risk/Reward Sub-Factor Ratings, Q312 (scores out of 10) 22
Table: CEE Food & Drink Risk/Reward Ratings, Q312 25
Ukraine’s Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings 26
Macroeconomic Outlook 27
Table: Economic Activity . 30
Industry Forecast Scenario 31
Consumer Outlook 31
Food 33
Consumption 33
Table: Food Consumption Indicators – Historical Data & Forecasts 34
Confectionery . 34
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts 35
Canned And Processed Foods 36
Table: Meat . 36
Table: Jams & Jellies 37
Table: Pasta 38
Table: Snack Foods 39
Dairy 40
Table: Dairy 40
Drink . 43
Alcoholic Drinks . 43
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts 44
Soft Drinks 44
Table: Soft Drinks Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts . 45
Hot Drinks 46
Table: Hot Drinks Value Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts . 46
Mass Grocery Retail 47
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format – Historical Data & Forecasts 48
Table: Grocery Retail Sales By Format (%) 49
Trade . 49
Table: Trade Indicators – Historical Data & Forecasts 50
Food 51
Key Industry Trends And Developments 51
Ukraine/Russia Cheese Dispute Benefits Danone 51
Nestlé Ukraine Outperforms Rest Of Europe . 51
Agriculture Continues To Attract Interest . 52
Government Calls For Greater Investment Into Agriculture 53
Dairy Industry Consolidates And Changes Direction 53
Market Overview . 55
Food Processing . 55
Key Players . 56
Confectionery . 57
Trade 58
Agriculture 59
Drink 61
Key Industry Trends And Developments 61
Budweiser Launched In Ukraine . 61
Anadolu Efes Looks For Acquisitions 61
Oasis CIS Seeks Expansion Through Acquisition. 62
Foreign Players Eye Potential Of Alcoholic Drinks Industry 62
The Beer Industry Seems To Be Growing Against The Odds 63
Ukrainian Spirits Majors Targeting Russia . 64
Market Overview . 64
Alcoholic Drinks . 64
Beer 65
Wine 66
Spirits . 67
Soft Drinks 68
Hot Drinks 70
Mass Grocery Retail 72
Key Industry Trends And Developments 72
Ukraine Consumers Turn To MGR Outlets 72
Retail Space Expanding Despite Economic Adversity 72
Private Label Gaining Importance In Light Of Economic Difficulties 73
Investment Into Hypermarkets Continues 74
Supermarket Expansion Also On Cards 74
Market Overview . 75
Leading Retailers 76
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Market By Number Of Outlets . 79
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format 79
Table: Average Annual Sales By Outlet Type, 2010 80
Competitive Landscape 81
Table: Key Players In Ukraine’s Food Sector 81
Table: Key Players In Ukraine’s Drink Sector 82
Table: Key Players In Ukraine’s Mass Grocery Retail Industry 83
Company Monitor 85
Food 85
Ukrproduct 85
Myronivsky Hliboproduct (MHP) . 87
Danone-Unimilk (Halakton) . 89
Roshen . 91
Konti 93
Astarta-Kyiv 94
Drink . 95
Sun InBev Ukraine 95
Slavutich Carslberg (Baltic Beverages Holding Ukraine) 97
Obolon . 99
Odessa Champagne Factory 101
Nemiroff 102
Mass Grocery Retail 104
Fozzy Group. 104
Billa . 106
ATB Market 108
Auchan 109
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology . 110
Table: Rewards . 110
Table: Risks . 111
Weighting 111
Table: Weighting. 111
Demographic Outlook . 112
Table: Ukraine’s Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (‘000) . 113
Table: Ukraine’s Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) . 114
Table: Ukraine’s Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020. 115
Table: Ukraine’s Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 115
BMI Food & Drink Industry Glossary 116
Food & Drink. 116
Mass Grocery Retail 116
BMI Food & Drink Forecasting & Sourcing 118
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 118
Sourcing 119Table: Core Views . 20
Table: Food & Drink Risk/Reward Sub-Factor Ratings, Q312 (scores out of 10) . 22
Table: CEE Food & Drink Risk/Reward Ratings, Q312 . 25
Table: Economic Activity . 30
Table: Food Consumption Indicators – Historical Data & Forecasts . 34
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts . 35
Table: Meat . 36
Table: Jams & Jellies . 37
Table: Pasta . 38
Table: Snack Foods. 39
Table: Dairy. 40
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts . 44
Table: Soft Drinks Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts . 45
Table: Hot Drinks Value Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts . 46
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format – Historical Data & Forecasts . 48
Table: Grocery Retail Sales By Format (%) . 49
Table: Trade Indicators – Historical Data & Forecasts . 50
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Market By Number Of Outlets . 79
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format . 79
Table: Average Annual Sales By Outlet Type, 2010 . 80
Table: Key Players In Ukraine''s Food Sector . 81
Table: Key Players In Ukraine''s Drink Sector. 82
Table: Key Players In Ukraine''s Mass Grocery Retail Industry . 83
Table: Rewards . 110
Table: Risks . 111
Table: Weighting. 111
Table: Ukraine''s Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (‘000) . 113
Table: Ukraine''s Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) . 114
Table: Ukraine''s Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020. 115
Table: Ukraine''s Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 . 115