MI Industry View . 5
SWOT Analysis 7
Nigeria Food Industry SWOT . 7
Nigeria Drink Industry SWOT 8
Nigeria Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT 9
Business Environment 10
BMI’s Core Global Industry Views 10
Table: Core Views 18
Sub-Saharan Africa Risk/Reward Ratings . 19
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Food & Drink Risk/Reward Sub-Factor Ratings Q312 (scores out of 10) 20
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Food & Drink Risk/Reward Ratings Q312 23
Macroeconomic Outlook 24
Table: Economic Activity . 26
Industry Forecast Scenario 27
Consumer Outlook 27
Food 29
Food Consumption 29
Table: Food Consumption – Historical Data & Forecasts 30
Table: Preserved Fish . 30
Table: Breads. 31
Drink . 32
Alcoholic Drinks . 32
Beer 32
Table: Beer . 33
Soft Drinks 34
Carbonates 34
Table: Carbonates 35
Bottled Water . 36
Table: Bottled Water 36
Mass Grocery Retail 37
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format – Historical Data & Forecasts 38
Trade . 39
Table: Trade Of Food, Drink And Tobacco . 39
Food 41
Key Industry Trends And Developments 41
Olam Targeting Final Consumer In US$67mn Kayass Deal 41
KFC Owner Yum! Brands Targeting Africa Growth . 41
Lots Of Growth Room For Unilever In Africa 42
Olam Biscuit Acquisition Complements Its Diversification Push 43
Nestlé Nigeria Going Strong . 43
Market Overview . 44
Food Production . 44
Agriculture 44
Drink 46
Key Industry Trends And Developments 46
Diageo To Pump More Money Into Fast-Growing Guinness . 46
Heineken Looking To Grow Capacity 47
Market Overview . 47
Beer 47
Soft Drinks 48
Mass Grocery Retail 50
Key Industry Trends And Developments 50
Spar To Collaborate Directly With Farmers To Serve Farm-Fresh Produce 50
MGR Investment Finally Coming In 50
Market Overview . 51
Competitive Landscape 52
Consumer Share Price Analysis . 52
Key Players 54
Table: Key Players In Nigeria’s Food & Drink Sector 54
Table: Key Players In Nigeria’s Mass Grocery Retail Sector 55
Company Monitor 56
Food 56
Nestlé Nigeria 56
UAC Plc 58
Drink . 59
Guinness Nigeria 59
Nigerian Breweries 60
Mass Grocery Retail 61
Park ‘n’ Shop . 61
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 62
Table: Rewards 62
Table: Risks 63
Weighting 63
Table: Weighting. 63
Demographic Outlook 64
Table: Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (‘000) 65
Table: Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 66
Table: Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 67
Table: Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 . 67
BMI Food & Drink Industry Glossary . 68
Food & Drink 68
Mass Grocery Retail 68
BMI Food & Drink Forecasting & Sourcing 70
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 70
Sourcing 71Table: Core Views . 18
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Food & Drink Risk/Reward Sub-Factor Ratings Q312 (scores out of 10) . 20
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Food & Drink Risk/Reward Ratings Q312 . 23
Table: Economic Activity . 26
Table: Food Consumption – Historical Data & Forecasts . 30
Table: Preserved Fish . 30
Table: Breads. 31
Table: Beer . 33
Table: Carbonates . 35
Table: Bottled Water . 36
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format – Historical Data & Forecasts . 38
Table: Trade Of Food, Drink And Tobacco . 39
Table: Key Players In Nigeria''s Food & Drink Sector . 54
Table: Key Players In Nigeria''s Mass Grocery Retail Sector . 55
Table: Rewards . 62
Table: Risks . 63
Table: Weighting. 63
Table: Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (‘000) . 65
Table: Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) . 66
Table: Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 . 67
Table: Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 . 67