Kazakhstan Infrastructure Report Q3 2012

Published : July 2012
No. of Pages : 58

Price:

BMI View: Kazakhstan’s construction industry is forecast to post strong growth in 2012, driven by demand for the country’s resources. Year-on-year (y-o-y) growth is at 6.0% for 2012 rising as high as 9% by 2014. The industry value is expected to increase from US$15.2bn in 2012 to US$29.2bn by the end of our forecast period in 2016. Despite strong growth figures, long-term political stability does raise some potential issues for the country.
Key developments in Kazakhstan’s infrastructure industry include: 􀂃 The manufacturing division of General Electric has signed a memorandum of understanding to build a US$90mn diesel manufacturing plant in Astana, Kazakhstan. GE Transportation will undertake the project as a joint venture, in conjunction with KTZ and TransmashDiesel. The plant is to produce 400 Evolution Series engines annually, with operations to begin before the end of 2013.
􀂃 The World Bank has announced that it will provide a US$1.068bn loan to Kazakhstan’s government for its East-West roads project. This will see the construction of a new road between Almaty and Khorgos that will be 13% shorter than the existing one. The project aims to improve transportation along the Western Europe-Western China road corridor, thereby facilitating trade.
􀂃 Kazakhstan’s government has announced that it intends to collaborate with Malaysia to develop the former country''s infrastructure. Work in the pipeline comprises public transport facilities and 20 new hospitals.
While we acknowledge its vast economic potential and the concurrent opportunities for investors, we remain concerned over Kazakhstan''s long-term political stability. Political power is concentrated in the hands of the 72-year-old president, Nursultan Nazarbayev, and the country''s investment appeal could be undermined if no clear process for his succession materialises.
Elevated global oil prices and strong domestic demand underpin our real GDP growth forecast for 2012, which we put at 6.0%. While weaker external demand for the country''s exports will weigh on economic activity, the government''s commitment to support private sector activity and a slowly recovering banking sector will ensure that Kazakhstan''s robust growth trajectory continues.

BMI Industry View . 5
SWOT Analysis 6
Kazakhstan Infrastructure Industry SWOT . 6
Market Overview 7
Competitive Landscape 7
Building Materials . 9
Global . 9
Europe . 12
Table: Cement - Price/Volume % Variances (9m10/9m11) 15
Cement Forecasts 15
Table: Kazakhstan Cement Production and Consumption Data, 2009 - 2016 16
Table: Kazakhstan Cement Production and Consumption Long-Term Forecasts, 2014 - 2021 16
Industry Forecast Scenario 17
Table: Kazakhstan Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data, 2008 - 2016 . 17
Table: Kazakhstan Construction And Infrastructure Industry Long-Term Forecasts, 2013 - 2021 18
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario . 19
Transport Infrastructure 21
Outlook and Overview 21
Major Projects Table – Transport. 22
Table: Major Projects - Transport 22
Energy and Utilities Infrastructure 24
Outlook and Overview 24
Major Projects Table – Energy And Utilities . 26
Table: Major Projects – Energy And Utilities 26
Residential/Non-Residential Construction and Social Infrastructure 28
Outlook and Overview 28
Major Projects Table – Residential/Non-Residential Construction and Social Infrastructure 29
Table: Major Projects – Residential/Non-Residential Construction and Social Infrastructure . 29
Risk/Reward Ratings 30
Kazakhstan’s Risk/Reward Ratings 30
Rewards 30
Risks 30
Regional Overview 31
Central and Eastern Europe Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings 31
Table: CEE Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings . 35
Company Profiles 36
KazMunaiGaz (KMG) . 36
Global Overview 39
Methodology 46
Industry Forecasts 46
Construction Industry . 47
Data Methodology 47
New Infrastructure Data Sub-sectors 47
Construction 48
Capital Investment 49
Construction Sector Employment 50
Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings . 50
Table: Infrastructure Business Environment Indicators . 51
Project Finance Ratings 52
Table: Design And Construction Phase 53
Table: Commissioning And Operating Phase – Commercial Construction 54
Table: Commissioning And Operating Phase – Energy And Utilities 55
Table: Commissioning And Operating Phase – Transport 56
Sources. 57Table: Cement - Price/Volume % Variances (9m10/9m11) . 15

Table: Kazakhstan Cement Production and Consumption Data, 2009 - 2016 . 16

Table: Kazakhstan Cement Production and Consumption Long-Term Forecasts, 2014 - 2021 . 16

Table: Kazakhstan Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data, 2008 - 2016 . 17

Table: Kazakhstan Construction And Infrastructure Industry Long-Term Forecasts, 2013 - 2021 . 18

Major Projects Table – Transport. 22

Table: Major Projects - Transport . 22

Major Projects Table – Energy And Utilities . 26

Table: Major Projects – Energy And Utilities . 26

Major Projects Table – Residential/Non-Residential Construction and Social Infrastructure . 29

Table: Major Projects – Residential/Non-Residential Construction and Social Infrastructure . 29

Table: CEE Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings . 35

Table: Infrastructure Business Environment Indicators . 51

Table: Design And Construction Phase . 53

Table: Commissioning And Operating Phase – Commercial Construction. 54

Table: Commissioning And Operating Phase – Energy And Utilities . 55

Table: Commissioning And Operating Phase – Transport . 56

Kazakhstan Infrastructure Report Q3 2012

Published By: Business Monitor International

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