Sudan and South Sudan Power Report Q3 2012

Published : May 2012
No. of Pages : 57

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BMI View: Sudan's power sector is benefiting from large-scale investment in new infrastructure. China has emerged as one of the biggest players, having already played a major role in developing Sudan's hydroelectric power facilities. In addition, there is growing interest from foreign investors with regard to the potential development of thermal and solar power. A diversified approach to power infrastructure development could help Sudan extend the availability of energy to rural and peripheral regions. Since gaining political independence in January 2011, one of South Sudan’s key concerns has been developing its power generation, transmission and distribution capabilities. Given China's interest in South Sudan's oil resources, BMI expects China to become a major player in the development of South Sudan's energy sector.
From 2011 to 2016, Sudan's overall power generation is expected to increase at an annual average rate of 1.0% to reach 6.65TWh. An annual 0.4% average increase in oil-fired power generation will make a contribution to growth. Hydropower generation is expected to increase by an average of 2.1% annually over the period.
Key trends and developments in the country’s Power sector include: 􀂃 The country has seen the introduction of new energy transmission infrastructure alongside major power generation projects. In addition to extending its national electricity transmission and distribution capabilities, there is the potential for Sudan to engage in cooperative electricity transmission projects with neighbours such as Ethiopia.
􀂃 Despite our prediction that Sudan will steadily expand its power output over our forecast period, we expect all of this increased power generation to be used to support rising domestic demand. We do not expect Sudan to export significant quantities of power and do not have a forecast for exports. However, we do predict that a gradual decline in the percentage of transmission and distribution losses from an anticipated 30% in 2012 will help balance the market.
􀂃 The escalation of the military conflict between Sudan and South Sudan could heighten political risk, and could impact the country’s total power consumption.

SWOT Analysis 6
Sudan & South Sudan Power SWOT .. 6
Global Industry Overview ... 7
Regional Industry Overview . 14
Industry Forecast Scenario .. 19
Sudan Macroeconomic Snapshot .. 19
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data . 19
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector .. 19
Sudan Forecast Scenario .. 20
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity .. 20
Table: Sudan Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts, 2008-2016 ... 20
Table: Sudan Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts, 2013-2021 ... 21
Electricity Consumption 25
Table: Sudan Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts. 2008-2016 25
Table: Sudan Total Electricity Consumption Long-Term Forecasts, 2013-2021 . 25
Transmission & Distribution, Imports & Exports . 27
Table: Sudan Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Data And Forecasts, 2008-2013 ... 27
Table: Sudan Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Long-Term Forecasts, 2013-2021 27
Key Policies/Market Structure .. 29
Power Sector: Key Policies And Market Structure .. 29
Key Projects Database . 34
Table: Major Power Projects – East Africa . 34
Regional Risk/Reward Ratings . 38
MEA Regional Power Risk/Reward Ratings 38
Table: MEA Power Risk/Reward Ratings (Scores Out Of 100) 38
Sudan and South Sudan’s Power Risk/Reward Ratings ... 42
Rewards ... 43
Risks . 43
Competitive Landscape/Company Monitor. 45
Africa Power: Competitive Landscape . 45
Table: Main Utilities In East Africa . 46
Table: Main Utilities In Southern Africa (Ex. South Africa) 47
Glossary of Terms . 49
Table: Glossary of Terms . 49
Methodology and Sources 50
Industry Forecasts ... 50
Power Industry - Data Methodology 51
Generation and Consumption Data . 51
Electricity Generation Capacity Data .. 52
Power Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology ... 52
Table: Power Risk/Reward Indicators . 54
Sources 56Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data . 19

Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector . 19

Table: Sudan Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts, 2008-2016 . 20

Table: Sudan Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts, 2013-2021 . 21

Table: Sudan Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts. 2008-2016 . 25

Table: Sudan Total Electricity Consumption Long-Term Forecasts, 2013-2021 . 25

Table: Sudan Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Data And Forecasts, 2008-2013 . 27

Table: Sudan Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Long-Term Forecasts, 2013-2021 . 27

Table: Major Power Projects – East Africa . 34

Table: MEA Power Risk/Reward Ratings (Scores Out Of 100) . 38

Table: Main Utilities In East Africa . 46

Table: Main Utilities In Southern Africa (Ex. South Africa) . 47

Table: Glossary of Terms . 49

Table: Power Risk/Reward Indicators . 54#

Sudan and South Sudan Power Report Q3 2012

Published By: Business Monitor International

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