Kazakhstan Mining Report Q3 2012

Published : May 2012
No. of Pages : 50

Price:

We expect Kazakhstan's mining industry value to reach US$36bn by 2016, down from our previous forecast in light of our view of an overall decline in commodity prices. Growth will be led almost entirely by the coal, iron ore and copper sectors, which together account for the majority of the value of Kazakhstan's mining industry, though we also note extremely strong growth in gold production. Copper production is also a bright spot in the country given aggressive expansion plans by Kazakhmys and Rio Tinto's commitment to invest US$100mn in exploring northern Kazakhstan for copper.
Regulatory Environment The constitution of the Republic of Kazakhstan vests ownership of mineral resources in the state. The constitution states that land may be privately owned, but underground resources are state property. The controlling body for the mining industry is the Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources. Given the strategic and economic importance of the mining sector, the government is supportive of the industry and institutes a generally positive investment climate, although it has also shown that it will intervene when necessary.
Key Players Kazakhstan's mining sector is dominated by state-owned entities Kazakhmys and Eurasian National Resources Corporation (ENRC), zinc-focused Kazzinc and gold producer KazakhGold. In the coming years, we expect the sector to become more competitive and increasingly fragmented, with the influx of foreign companies such as Rio Tinto encouraged by the vast potential of the country's mining sector.

Executive Summary . 5
SWOT Analysis . 6
Mining Industry SWOT .. 6
Global Mining Outlook . 7
Table: Recent Tax Increases 10
Table: Largest Coal Projects ... 12
Table: Major Frontier Mining Projects ... 13
Europe: Mining Sector Outlook 14
Table: Major Nordic Mining Projects.. 16
Table: Key Gold Projects In Eastern Europe ... 17
Industry Trend Analysis 18
Table: Kazakhstan's Mining Industry Value And Production .. 19
Industry Forecasts . 20
Iron Ore: Major Projects In The Pipeline 20
Table: Kazakhstan's Largest Iron Ore Projects ... 21
Table: Kazakhstan's Iron Ore Production ... 21
Coal: Bogatyr To Drive Growth .. 21
Table: Kazakhstan's Coal Production .. 23
Lead And Zinc: Diverging Paths .. 23
Table: Kazakhstan's Zinc And Lead Production .. 24
Bauxite: Steady Growth With Uptick By 2016 . 24
Table: Kazakhstan's Largest Bauxite Projects . 25
Table: Kazakhstan's Bauxite Production, 2009-2016 .. 25
Copper: Industry Due For Positive Reversal ... 26
Table: Kazakhstan's Largest Copper Projects . 27
Table: Kazakhstan's Copper Production . 28
Gold: Glencore To Lead The Way ... 28
Table: Kazakhstan's Largest Gold Projects . 29
Table: Kazakhstan's Gold Production . 29
Regulatory Structure .. 31
Europe Business Environment Ratings ... 33
Table: Mining Business Environment Risk/Reward Ratings 33
Competitive Landscape . 37
Table: Kazakhstan - Comparative Valuation Metrics .. 38
Company Profiles ... 39
ENRC ... 39
Table: ENRC's Financial Results . 40
Kazakhmys ... 41
Table: Kazakhmys' Financial Results .. 43
Commodity Strategy .. 44
Copper To Edge Lower 44
Aluminium: No Sustained Recovery Ahead .. 44
Oil: Prices To Pull Back .. 45
Gold: Still Bullish 46
Business Environment Ratings Methodology. 47
Table: Mining Business Environment Indicators . 48
Table: Weighting Of Components 49Table: Recent Tax Increases . 10

Table: Largest Coal Projects . 12

Table: Major Frontier Mining Projects . 13

Table: Major Nordic Mining Projects. 16

Table: Key Gold Projects In Eastern Europe . 17

Table: Kazakhstan's Mining Industry Value And Production . 19

Table: Kazakhstan's Largest Iron Ore Projects . 21

Table: Kazakhstan's Iron Ore Production . 21

Table: Kazakhstan's Coal Production . 23

Table: Kazakhstan's Zinc And Lead Production . 24

Table: Kazakhstan's Largest Bauxite Projects . 25

Table: Kazakhstan's Bauxite Production, 2009-2016 . 25

Table: Kazakhstan's Largest Copper Projects . 27

Table: Kazakhstan's Copper Production . 28

Table: Kazakhstan's Largest Gold Projects . 29

Table: Kazakhstan's Gold Production . 29

Table: Mining Business Environment Risk/Reward Ratings . 33

Table: Kazakhstan - Comparative Valuation Metrics . 38

Table: ENRC's Financial Results . 40

Table: Kazakhmys' Financial Results . 43

Table: Mining Business Environment Indicators . 48

Table: Weighting Of Components . 49

Kazakhstan Mining Report Q3 2012

Published By: Business Monitor International

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