Indonesia Infrastructure Report Q3 2012

Published : May 2012
No. of Pages : 109

Price:

BMI View: We have revised down our 2012 construction forecasts for Indonesia, with real growth expected to reach around 6.9% in 2012 (previously 7.1%). This revision is primarily due to a government plan to cut fuel subsidies, which we believe is likely to reverse the conducive monetary conditions for construction activity. In addition, we believe there is a real risk that Indonesia's construction sector could fail to realise its long-term growth potential, as key regulatory reforms have either failed to transpire or been overturned We believe that these negative factors could lead to a lack of private investment and have thus revised down our forecast for annual average construction real growth between 2013 and 2016 to 7.7% (previously 7.9%).
Key factors that will facilitate growth include: 􀂃 In January 2012, PLN announced that it has identified 96 locations that are suitable for new hydroelectric power plants across the country, reports thejakartapost.com. PLN will develop 60% of the proposed facilities, with the remaining 40% to be offered to independent power producers (IPP) through a series of tenders. The power plants will have a total production capacity of 12,800MW.
􀂃 In February 2012, the Indonesian government announced that it will undertake a feasibility study for the proposed US$13.9bn Sunda Strait bridge project during 2012. However, the government said that it would only pay IDR1.5trn (US$164mn), equivalent to 1%, of the project's total cost for the feasibility study. The 31km bridge will run between Anyer on the island of Java to Bakauheni on the island of Sumatra and be the largest inter-island edifice in the country. Construction is scheduled to start in 2014 and the bridge is expected to be operational by 2025. The development of the project is led by the consortium PT Graha Lampung Banten Sejahtera.
􀂃 In March 2012, PLN announced plans to launch a tender for the IDR20trn (US$2.18bn) Sumatra-Java high-voltage-direct current interconnected project in April 2012. Construction is expected to start in 2013, with completion scheduled for 2017. Once completed, the system is expected to distribute 3GW of electricity from Sumatra to Java and Bali Island, or vice versa. The project involves the construction of a converter station in Muara Enim [South Sumatra] and an inverter station in Bogor [West Java]. The line will be used to supply power from South Sumatra to fulfil the rising demand for power in Java, with several coal-fired power plants being built in the former region.

BMI Industry View 5
SWOT Analysis . 6
Indonesia Infrastructure SWOT . 6
Market Overview ... 7
MFIs Providing Finance And Reform Assistance .. 7
Seeking New Avenues Of Financing ... 8
A Favourite Among Asian Economies .. 12
PE Participation Minimal 13
Competitive Landscape . 14
Table: EQS Indonesia .. 14
Building Materials .. 15
Global ... 15
Asia ... 19
Cement Forecasts . 24
Table: Indonesia Cement Production and Consumption Data . 24
Table: Indonesia Cement Production and Consumption Data . 25
Cement Forecast Scenario ... 25
Industry Forecast Scenario ... 26
Table: Indonesia Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data ... 26
Table: Indonesia Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data ... 28
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario . 30
Transport Infrastructure 36
Table: Indonesia Transport Infrastructure Industry Data 36
Table: Indonesia Transport Infrastructure Industry Data 38
Transport Infrastructure Outlook and Overview ... 40
Major Projects Table – Transport 46
Table: Major Projects - Transport ... 46
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure ... 52
Table: Indonesia Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Industry Data ... 52
Table: Indonesia Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Industry Data ... 54
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Outlook and Overview .. 56
Major Projects Table – Energy And Utilities 63
Table: Major Projects – Energy And Utilities.. 63
Residential/Non-Residential Construction And Social Infrastructure .. 70
Table: Indonesia Residential and Non-residential Building Industry Data .. 70
Table: Indonesia Residential and Non-residential Building Industry Data .. 70
Residential/Non-Residential Building Outlook and Overview ... 71
Major Projects Table – Residential/Non-Residential Construction And Social Infrastructure . 76
Table: Major Projects – Construction And Social Infrastructure 76
Risk/Reward Ratings .. 78
Indonesia Risk/Reward Ratings ... 78
Rewards ... 78
Risks 79
Regional Overview 80
Asia Pacific Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings . 80
China, India, Indonesia - Bmi Interest Rate Views .. 81
Table: Emerging South East Asia - BMI Interest Rate Views... 85
Table: Nearly Developed Asia - Bmi Interest Rate Views 86
Table: Regional Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings .. 88
Company Monitor ... 89
PT Adhi Karya . 89
PT Wijaya Karya (WIKA) 91
PT Jasa Marga 93
Global Overview . 96
Methodology . 103
Industry Forecasts ..103
Construction Industry .104
Data Methodology ..104
New Infrastructure Data Sub-sectors ..104
Construction ...105
Capital Investment ..106
Construction Sector Employment 107
Infrastructure Business Environment Rating ...107
Table: Infrastructure Business Environment Indicators .108Table: EQS Indonesia . 14

Table: Indonesia Cement Production and Consumption Data . 24

Table: Indonesia Cement Production and Consumption Data . 25

Table: Indonesia Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data . 26

Table: Indonesia Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data . 28

Table: Indonesia Transport Infrastructure Industry Data . 36

Table: Indonesia Transport Infrastructure Industry Data . 38

Major Projects Table – Transport . 46

Table: Major Projects - Transport . 46

Table: Indonesia Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Industry Data . 52

Table: Indonesia Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Industry Data . 54

Major Projects Table – Energy And Utilities . 63

Table: Major Projects – Energy And Utilities. 63

Table: Indonesia Residential and Non-residential Building Industry Data . 70

Major Projects Table – Residential/Non-Residential Construction And Social Infrastructure . 76

Table: Major Projects – Construction And Social Infrastructure . 76

Table: Emerging South East Asia - BMI Interest Rate Views. 85

Table: Nearly Developed Asia - Bmi Interest Rate Views . 86

Table: Regional Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings . 88

Table: Infrastructure Business Environment Indicators .108

Indonesia Infrastructure Report Q3 2012

Published By: Business Monitor International

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