Iraq Infrastructure Report Q2 2012

Published : May 2012
No. of Pages : 72

Price:

BMI View: According to the latest data released by the Central Organisation for Statistics, Iraq’s construction sector has been booming. The data confirms our optimistic outlook for the sector, and therefore we are maintaining our double digit growth estimate for 2011. However, delays in projects and rising security risks are weighing on our 2012 and 2013 outlook.
Iraq’s construction sector continues to grapple with the political and economic challenges of a post-war country. Despite a huge project pipeline, as the country tries to mend its war-torn infrastructure and make up for decades of underinvestment, the business environment, economy and political climate continue to present challenges. The sheer number of projects under way and in the pipeline – US$33bn in infrastructure alone, and the very low base, is precipitating extremely high growth in the country’s construction sector, which, according to new data, saw 34% growth in 2009 and 65% growth in 2010. Whilst we believe this will slow, this is due in part to base effects, as the overall industry value becomes more robust.
However, as previously mentioned the obstacles to pushing projects through are hitting expected value creation. These are primarily political, economic and security related. The lack of sophisticate institutions and poor governance is impacting procurement. At the same time, rising security risks following the US withdrawal are threatening to destabilise the business environment. In the simplest form, security risks had receded from the primary risk associated with entering Iraq; however the growing instances of sectarian violence could see security concerns become paramount once again. At the same time, the instability and crippling lack of unity in the government is impacting policy creation. The government has struggled to pass a US$37bn infrastructure programme and further struggles to disperse funding for projects in a coherent manner.
The finance issue is both economic, the failure to restart oil production to the level desired, and delays in monetising gas, as well as bureaucratic. A lack of financing has derailed the Baghdad metro project and shortcomings in due diligence and governance resulted in contracts for power plants signed with unviable companies and the subsequent resignation of the electricity minister.

BMI Industry View 5
SWOT Analysis . 6
Iraq Infrastructure SWOT .. 6
Market Overview ... 7
Competitive Landscape ... 7
Table: EQS 7
Building Materials 9
Global . 9
Regional 15
Cement Forecasts . 21
Table: Iraq Cement Production and Consumption Data .. 21
Table: Iraq Cement Production and Consumption Data .. 22
Industry Forecast Scenario ... 23
Table: Iraq Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data 23
Table: Iraq Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data 23
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario . 25
Transport Infrastructure 28
Transport Infrastructure Outlook and Overview ... 28
Table: Operational Iraqi Ports 30
Major Projects Table – Transport 33
Table: Major Projects – Transport .. 33
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure ... 36
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Outlook And Overview .. 36
Major Projects Table – Energy And Utilities 40
Table: Major Projects – Energy And Utilities.. 40
Residential/Non-Residential Construction and Social Infrastructure .. 43
Residential/Non-Residential Construction and Social Infrastructure Overview 43
Major Projects Table – Residential/Non-Residential Construction and Social Infrastructure .. 48
Table: Major Projects – Construction And Social Infrastructure 48
Risk/Reward Ratings .. 50
Iraq Risk/Reward Ratings . 50
Rewards ... 50
Risks 50
Regional Overview 51
Table: Regional Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings .. 56
Company Monitor ... 57
URUK Engineering .. 57
Global Overview . 59
Infrastructure Finance In 2012: Déjà Vu? 59
Methodology ... 65
Industry Forecasts 65
Construction Industry .. 66
Data Methodology ... 66
New Infrastructure Data Sub-sectors ... 66
Construction 67
Capital Investment ... 68
Construction Sector Employment . 69
Infrastructure Business Environment Rating 69
Table: Infrastructure Business Environment Indicators .. 71Table: EQS . 7

Table: Iraq Cement Production and Consumption Data . 21

Table: Iraq Cement Production and Consumption Data . 22

Table: Iraq Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data . 23

Table: Operational Iraqi Ports . 30

Major Projects Table – Transport . 33

Table: Major Projects – Transport . 33

Major Projects Table – Energy And Utilities . 40

Table: Major Projects – Energy And Utilities. 40

Major Projects Table – Residential/Non-Residential Construction and Social Infrastructure . 48

Table: Major Projects – Construction And Social Infrastructure . 48

Table: Regional Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings . 56

Table: Infrastructure Business Environment Indicators . 71"

Iraq Infrastructure Report Q2 2012

Published By: Business Monitor International

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